Ok, first off a disclaimer. Im going to try and make this as non-political as possible…. while still dealing with political issues. No promises I will be successful. I have friends all over the political spectrum and if you know me then you know I dont like to talk politics or religion because its the easiest way to alienate friends. So the fact that Im talking about it….
On to the meat of this issue. I did open source intellgence analysis for a while, and I still keep track of world events as much as possible. There are two things of note that I am keeping a close eye on and you should too. The first is the Chinese merchant fleet in the Phillipean national waters, and the second is Russia’s push into Ukraine. Both have the very real possibility of dragging the US into conflict. If you have been to any store lately you have noticed that food, lumber, ect. is scarce in areas and the price is rapidly increasing. Plywood that cost me $25 a sheet in December of 2020 is now selling for $77 dollars at Lowes. What do you think will happen if we tangle with China, our biggest supplier of goods. What do you think China will do if we have to move our forces to the opposite side of the world in Ukraine?
See where I am going with this?
I think Putin is playing a very smart game right now, and is managing to pay Biden back for his “Putin is a killer” and “a man with no soul” comment. If there is any legitimacy to the claim that Hunter and Joe Biden had inappropriate dealings in Ukraine resulting in large payments to Biden, then that would explain why Biden announced ‘total support’ for Ukraine. Biden cant afford for that claim to be legitimized by Ukraine, so he will have to pledge troops to keep it quiet. The american public has shown it doesnt like to send its children to fight in border conflicts and is usually reflected in the polls. A win for Putin. If Putin can escalate to the point where the US has to move troops and supplies to Ukraine then he has a political win, but if he then offers Ukraine a peace deal to release the alleged info on Hunter Biden’s dealings he scores a possible double win. If Biden chooses to not support Ukraine then Putin can reclaim some or all of Ukraine, show that Biden (and the US) went back on his word for “total support”, plus demand the release of information. A possible three way win for Putin.
In the meantime China has already declared preperations for conflict with the US over Taiwan and has moved a fleet of over 200 merchant ships into Phillipean waters. The Phillipean military is now doing over flights of these vessels and any slip by either side could cause conflict. China is still one of, if not the biggest, supplier of retail goods to the US. If there is open conflict between the US and China a lot of things just wont be available no matter the cost.
And what do you think China will do if we are involved in conflict or possible conflict over Ukraine? The smart thing for China to do is move while we have forces and attention split between two literal opposite sides of the world.
These are my thoughts, I wanted to share just in case you hadnt heard about these things. You can find videos for both sides of the Biden/Putin comments, China merchant fleet / readiness for conflict, and the Hunter Biden Burisma story online, even on YouToob.
If you want more of what I keep an eye on in the future, or dont want to hear another word about it, leave a comment on this post.
I would like to hear more.